Thursday, 28 November 2013

Labour's vote share appears to be very stable

The Labour vote share in opinion polls in the last week or so seems to be very stable. Latest figures from YouGov ( taken yesterday show that Labour remains on 39%, the Conservatives on 32%, and the Lib Dems and UKIP on 10% and 13% respectively.

YouGov is the only polling company to return daily polling figures, and for the last 7 days the vote shares have been roughly the same, apart from a variation of a percentage or two. The results spell bad news for Prime Minister David Cameron- All of the attempts to link the Reverend Flowers Co-Op scandal with the Labour Party seem to have failed, and David Cameron's attempts to get tougher on EU migrants over benefits in an attempt to win back some disenchanted UKIP voters also seems to have backfired- Nigel Farage's party has actually seen a slight increase in its share of the vote in polls this week, instead of a decrease . Certainly, an interesting poll came out this week from Thanet South, where the sitting Conservative MP is retiring- The Conservatives were in 3rd place behind both the Labour Party and UKIP. This poll could be an ominous sign of what is to come for the Conservatives- They could lose many seats to Labour because of UKIP splitting the vote on the right, and this could allow Labour to take some seats which they would normally have had no chance of taking. All in all, this makes for an interesting 17 Months ahead until G.E 2015.

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